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The Signal And The Noise

Pub Date : 2015 | Author : Nate Silver | Publisher : Penguin

ISBN 10 : 9780143125082
ISBN 13 : 0143125087

The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of predi..


Superforecasting

Pub Date : 2015-09-29 | Author : Philip E. Tetlock | Publisher : Crown

ISBN 10 : 9780804136709
ISBN 13 : 080413670X

A New York Times Bestseller An Economist Best Book of 2015 "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow." —Jason Zweig, The Wall St..


Naked Statistics Stripping The Dread From The Data

Pub Date : 2013-01-07 | Author : Charles Wheelan | Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company

ISBN 10 : 9780393089820
ISBN 13 : 0393089827

“Brilliant, funny . . . the best math teacher you never had.”—San Francisco Chronicle Once considered tedious, the field of statistics is rapidly evolving into a discipline H..


The Signal And The Noise In 30 Minutes

Pub Date : 2012-11-01 | Author : | Publisher :

ISBN 10 : 1623150523
ISBN 13 : 9781623150525

The Signal and the Noise …in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver’s bestselling book, The..


The Theory That Would Not Die

Pub Date : 2011 | Author : Sharon Bertsch McGrayne | Publisher : Yale University Press

ISBN 10 : 9780300175097
ISBN 13 : 0300175094

Bayes rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it..


Everybody Lies

Pub Date : 2017-05-29 | Author : Seth Stephens-Davidowitz | Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing

ISBN 10 : 9781408894699
ISBN 13 : 1408894696

Insightful, surprising and with ground-breaking revelations about our society, Everybody Lies exposes the secrets embedded in our internet searches, with a foreword by bestselling ..


Principles Of Forecasting

Pub Date : 2001 | Author : J. S. Armstrong | Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN 10 : 0792379306
ISBN 13 : 9780792379300

This work summarizes knowledge from experts and from empirical studies, providing guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. The 30 chap..


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